First column gives approximate bottom year of decade. Second column is classical reconstruction. Columns 3-7 give indicated posterior quantiles. First 99 decades based on LCZ6. Last decade based on LCZ4. Year Recon .025 .25 .5 .75 .975 1001 -0.7005 -3.9718 -1.0199 -0.6652 -0.4097 1.4021 1011 -0.2425 -2.1150 -0.4954 -0.2401 0.0095 1.5507 1021 -0.3795 -2.5302 -0.6410 -0.3659 -0.1233 1.3276 1031 -1.1257 -5.0000 -1.5784 -1.0696 -0.7545 2.6330 1041 -0.7844 -4.4320 -1.1263 -0.7445 -0.4803 1.5738 1051 -0.6918 -3.9256 -1.0090 -0.6570 -0.4023 1.3876 1061 -0.1719 -1.9528 -0.4240 -0.1753 0.0814 1.7187 1071 -0.4046 -2.6205 -0.6688 -0.3891 -0.1469 1.3018 1081 -0.5061 -3.0275 -0.7845 -0.4831 -0.2399 1.2483 1091 -0.2332 -2.0915 -0.4858 -0.2315 0.0189 1.5709 1101 -0.3999 -2.6031 -0.6636 -0.3847 -0.1424 1.3063 1111 -0.5624 -3.2802 -0.8508 -0.5355 -0.2900 1.2566 1121 -0.0722 -1.7851 -0.3270 -0.0838 0.1870 2.0158 1131 -0.4761 -2.9002 -0.7496 -0.4552 -0.2127 1.2553 1141 -0.2884 -2.2393 -0.5431 -0.2821 -0.0358 1.4608 1151 -0.2146 -2.0465 -0.4669 -0.2144 0.0377 1.6130 1161 -0.5268 -3.1185 -0.8087 -0.5024 -0.2585 1.2481 1171 -0.4204 -2.6794 -0.6865 -0.4036 -0.1616 1.2880 1181 -0.1922 -1.9957 -0.4443 -0.1939 0.0605 1.6668 1191 -0.4654 -2.8564 -0.7375 -0.4453 -0.2030 1.2596 1201 -0.7342 -4.1534 -1.0623 -0.6970 -0.4382 1.4642 1211 -0.0354 -1.7416 -0.2922 -0.0499 0.2273 2.1430 1221 -0.1612 -1.9314 -0.4134 -0.1655 0.0925 1.7472 1231 -0.3509 -2.4328 -0.6098 -0.3396 -0.0962 1.3628 1241 -0.2293 -2.0820 -0.4819 -0.2280 0.0228 1.5794 1251 -0.6452 -3.6839 -0.9512 -0.6131 -0.3623 1.3222 1261 -0.8513 -4.8155 -1.2128 -0.8080 -0.5355 1.7467 1271 -0.4694 -2.8727 -0.7420 -0.4490 -0.2066 1.2579 1281 -0.5805 -3.3656 -0.8725 -0.5524 -0.3060 1.2654 1291 -0.6199 -3.5570 -0.9202 -0.5893 -0.3405 1.2953 1301 -0.5474 -3.2112 -0.8330 -0.5215 -0.2768 1.2516 1311 -0.1005 -1.8254 -0.3542 -0.1098 0.1565 1.9243 1321 -0.4820 -2.9248 -0.7565 -0.4607 -0.2181 1.2533 1331 -0.5252 -3.1110 -0.8067 -0.5008 -0.2569 1.2480 1341 -0.5753 -3.3409 -0.8663 -0.5476 -0.3014 1.2626 1351 -0.3434 -2.4081 -0.6017 -0.3327 -0.0891 1.3731 1361 -0.2024 -2.0185 -0.4546 -0.2033 0.0500 1.6417 1371 -0.0893 -1.8086 -0.3433 -0.0994 0.1685 1.9600 1381 -0.3264 -2.3536 -0.5834 -0.3170 -0.0727 1.3979 1391 -0.5096 -3.0425 -0.7885 -0.4863 -0.2430 1.2480 1401 -0.5262 -3.1154 -0.8079 -0.5017 -0.2578 1.2480 1411 -0.3583 -2.4575 -0.6179 -0.3464 -0.1033 1.3531 1421 -0.2082 -2.0317 -0.4604 -0.2086 0.0442 1.6279 1431 -0.7525 -4.2539 -1.0856 -0.7143 -0.4536 1.5019 1441 -0.3984 -2.5979 -0.6620 -0.3833 -0.1411 1.3077 1451 -0.6798 -3.8627 -0.9941 -0.6457 -0.3921 1.3689 1461 -0.2419 -2.1135 -0.4948 -0.2395 0.0101 1.5520 1471 -0.6213 -3.5637 -0.9219 -0.5906 -0.3416 1.2965 1481 -0.5636 -3.2859 -0.8522 -0.5366 -0.2911 1.2571 1491 -0.4809 -2.9204 -0.7553 -0.4597 -0.2171 1.2537 1501 -0.5023 -3.0109 -0.7800 -0.4795 -0.2364 1.2488 1511 -0.6792 -3.8594 -0.9933 -0.6451 -0.3915 1.3680 1521 -0.0730 -1.7862 -0.3278 -0.0845 0.1861 2.0131 1531 -0.5538 -3.2406 -0.8406 -0.5275 -0.2824 1.2535 1541 -0.8231 -4.6521 -1.1762 -0.7812 -0.5123 1.6705 1551 -0.4807 -2.9194 -0.7550 -0.4595 -0.2169 1.2538 1561 -0.5138 -3.0609 -0.7934 -0.4902 -0.2467 1.2478 1571 -0.6935 -3.9344 -1.0111 -0.6585 -0.4037 1.3903 1581 -0.5318 -3.1407 -0.8146 -0.5070 -0.2629 1.2486 1591 -0.4576 -2.8248 -0.7285 -0.4381 -0.1958 1.2634 1601 -0.5917 -3.4190 -0.8860 -0.5629 -0.3158 1.2724 1611 -0.5772 -3.3501 -0.8686 -0.5494 -0.3031 1.2636 1621 -0.9659 -5.0000 -1.3637 -0.9171 -0.6283 2.0932 1631 -0.5028 -3.0131 -0.7806 -0.4800 -0.2369 1.2487 1641 -0.6747 -3.8359 -0.9877 -0.6409 -0.3877 1.3613 1651 -0.6202 -3.5585 -0.9206 -0.5896 -0.3407 1.2955 1661 -0.7482 -4.2303 -1.0801 -0.7102 -0.4500 1.4928 1671 -0.7387 -4.1779 -1.0680 -0.7012 -0.4420 1.4732 1681 -0.6347 -3.6309 -0.9383 -0.6032 -0.3533 1.3103 1691 -0.4325 -2.7256 -0.7000 -0.4148 -0.1727 1.2788 1701 -0.7018 -3.9786 -1.0215 -0.6664 -0.4108 1.4043 1711 -0.6713 -3.8182 -0.9835 -0.6377 -0.3848 1.3564 1721 -0.4230 -2.6892 -0.6893 -0.4060 -0.1639 1.2860 1731 -0.9282 -5.0000 -1.3137 -0.8812 -0.5980 1.9738 1741 -0.6680 -3.8007 -0.9793 -0.6345 -0.3819 1.3516 1751 -0.6634 -3.7771 -0.9737 -0.6302 -0.3780 1.3453 1761 -0.8355 -4.7233 -1.1922 -0.7929 -0.5224 1.7033 1771 -0.7830 -4.4241 -1.1245 -0.7432 -0.4791 1.5705 1781 -0.8396 -4.7471 -1.1975 -0.7968 -0.5258 1.7143 1791 -0.2810 -2.2183 -0.5354 -0.2754 -0.0286 1.4743 1801 -0.7657 -4.3269 -1.1023 -0.7267 -0.4646 1.5306 1811 -0.9870 -5.0000 -1.3917 -0.9371 -0.6451 2.1614 1821 -0.6713 -3.8183 -0.9835 -0.6377 -0.3848 1.3564 1831 -0.5672 -3.3027 -0.8565 -0.5400 -0.2943 1.2586 1841 -0.3476 -2.4217 -0.6062 -0.3365 -0.0930 1.3674 1851 -0.4019 -2.6104 -0.6658 -0.3865 -0.1443 1.3044 1861 -0.5788 -3.3574 -0.8704 -0.5508 -0.3045 1.2644 1871 -0.9559 -5.0000 -1.3504 -0.9075 -0.6203 2.0610 1881 -0.0619 -1.7719 -0.3172 -0.0743 0.1982 2.0504 1891 -0.6107 -3.5115 -0.9090 -0.5807 -0.3324 1.2869 1901 -0.1323 -1.8775 -0.3850 -0.1389 0.1227 1.8284 1911 -0.3516 -2.4350 -0.6106 -0.3402 -0.0969 1.3619 1921 -0.1943 -2.0004 -0.4464 -0.1959 0.0583 1.6615 1931 0.0836 -1.6738 -0.1830 0.0603 0.3625 2.6157 1941 0.4819 -2.3363 0.1556 0.4358 0.8608 4.7218 1951 -0.0217 -1.7280 -0.2793 -0.0372 0.2425 2.1929 1961 0.2010 -1.7278 -0.0793 0.1700 0.5029 3.1656 1971 -0.3937 -2.5806 -0.6567 -0.3789 -0.1366 1.3125 1981 -0.0443 -1.7511 -0.3005 -0.0580 0.2175 2.1115 1991 0.3259 -0.3230 0.1137 0.3230 0.5825 1.7452